From Detection to Deflection: Evaluating NASA’s Planetary Defense Strategy

Commerce, Space, and Science NominationsHouse Science, Space, and Technology Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics · May 15, 2025 · 119th Congress
The House Science, Space, and Technology Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics held this hearing to review NASA's progress detecting and cataloging near-Earth objects (NEOs) under the George E. Begins at ▶ 0:11:38
Transcript
Highlights

Title

NASA's planetary defense progress and proposed NASA science budget cuts

Purpose

The House Science, Space, and Technology Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics held this hearing to review NASA's progress detecting and cataloging near-Earth objects (NEOs) under the George E. Brown Jr. Near-Earth Object Survey Act, the status of the NEO Surveyor mission, and the role of the Smithsonian's Minor Planet Center in tracking asteroids. The hearing also became a venue for sharp partisan exchange over the Trump administration's proposed FY2026 budget, which would cut NASA by roughly 24% overall and NASA's Science Mission Directorate by up to 47-50%. Begins at▶ 0:11:38

Who spoke

• Chairman Herodopoulos▶ 0:11:38: Opened the hearing, noted the 2024 YR4 asteroid's initial 3% impact probability was lowered to below 0.01%▶ 0:12:33, cited the 2004 Apophis close approach▶ 0:13:19, and said NASA had identified only 44% of NEOs larger than 140 meters as of last September against a 90%-by-2020 statutory goal▶ 0:13:41; later questioned Dr. Fox on NASA's notification process for threat objects▶ 0:47:13 and lead times for mitigation▶ 0:49:36.

• Ranking Member Fushi (D-NC)▶ 0:15:29: Warned the proposed FY2026 budget would cut NASA 24% and the Science Mission Directorate 47% from FY2025 levels▶ 0:16:44; cited nearly $20 million in canceled NSF grants to North Carolina▶ 0:18:11 and cancellation of a NASA support contract for the US Global Change Research Program▶ 0:19:36; later pressed Dr. Fox on who approved that cancellation▶ 0:52:40 and on AI funding needs▶ 0:56:35.

• Rep. Babin (R-TX), full committee chairman▶ 0:21:18: Reviewed NASA's Planetary Defense Coordination Office role, the 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor (440 kilotons, ~30x Hiroshima)▶ 0:26:11, and the DART mission's 2022 impact on Dimorphos▶ 0:27:57; later questioned Dr. Fox on the deep space radar study following Arecibo's 2020 collapse▶ 0:58:23 and on NEO Surveyor funding cuts under the Biden FY23 budget request▶ 1:01:08.

• Rep. Lofgren (D-CA), full committee ranking member▶ 0:21:18: Detailed the 2023 National Preparedness Strategy's multi-agency roles (NSF, DOE, DHS/FEMA, State)▶ 0:22:09 and warned of proposed cuts of 55% to NSF, 47% to State, and possible elimination of FEMA▶ 0:23:45; later asked Dr. Payne how Minor Planet Center data flows to Ames/JPL for impact assessment▶ 1:04:39 and pressed Dr. Fox on the delayed "Roses" grant solicitation▶ 1:06:51.

• Dr. Nicola Fox, NASA Associate Administrator, Science Mission Directorate▶ 0:29:46: Described NASA's response process for the 2024 YR4 threat, including notifying agencies via acting administrator Janet Petro and using James Webb Space Telescope observations▶ 0:33:08; said NASA-funded telescopes have found 96% of all NEO discoveries▶ 0:34:24; confirmed she personally decided to pause the Roses solicitation pending the FY26 budget▶ 1:07:36; said NEO Surveyor remains on schedule and budget despite California wildfires costing about a month of schedule▶ 1:16:45.

• Dr. Amy Mainzer, UCLA professor and NEO Surveyor mission lead▶ 0:37:17: Displayed meteorite samples (Canyon Diablo, Allende, a Chelyabinsk fragment) to illustrate impact hazards▶ 0:38:14; said the Chelyabinsk object sent about 1,600 people to hospitals from flying glass▶ 0:39:08; said NEO Surveyor will launch on a Falcon 9 from Kennedy Space Center in late 2027▶ 0:41:19; estimated after 10 years of surveying NEO Surveyor would find roughly half of 50-meter-and-larger potentially hazardous objects▶ 1:03:50.

• Dr. Matthew Payne, Director, Minor Planet Center▶ 0:41:44: Said the center processes more than 50 million observations yearly from 2,500+ observatories in 80 countries▶ 0:43:07 and tracks 38,000 known NEOs including 2,500+ potentially hazardous ones▶ 0:43:32; said a 2024 YR4 impact would have released energy equal to an 8-megaton bomb, potentially killing millions near a population center▶ 0:44:20; said the Vera Rubin Observatory and NEO Surveyor together will send the center 10 times more data than all current sources combined▶ 0:45:48.

• Rep. Kennedy (R-UT) [0:29:46 not applicable; 1:09:29]: Asked Dr. Payne and Dr. Fox how their organizations coordinate data-sharing and rapid response worldwide▶ 1:10:16; highlighted Utah's Space Dynamics Laboratory's role building NEOISE and NEO Surveyor infrared detectors▶ 1:13:38.

• Rep. Gillan (D-NY)▶ 1:14:55: Entered a 2022 bipartisan letter supporting NEO Surveyor into the record▶ 1:15:50; asked Dr. Mainzer and Dr. Fox about the impact of the "skinny budget" cuts on the surveyor's launch▶ 1:15:50; asked whether the moon faces impact risk from 2024 YR4▶ 1:18:36.

• Rep. Whitesides (D-CA)▶ 1:19:56: Noted the Minor Planet Center's roughly $3-4 million budget is a strong federal investment and NASA spends only about 1% of its budget on asteroid research and defense▶ 1:20:27; pressed Dr. Fox on scientific data archiving and requested advance notice of any directive risking loss of science data▶ 1:22:39; asked about topline impacts of a 50% NASA science cut▶ 1:23:38.

• Rep. Salinas (D-OR)▶ 1:24:55: Linked NSF/NOAA/NASA cuts to risks for earthquake, tsunami, and wildfire research in Oregon▶ 1:24:55; asked Dr. Mainzer about combined federal funding streams supporting research institutions▶ 1:25:19; asked Dr. Payne and Dr. Mainzer about the value of expanding STEM opportunities to non-traditional and rural backgrounds after an NSF grant cancellation at the University of Oregon▶ 1:27:56.

Key moments

• The 2024 YR4 asteroid's impact probability rose from an initial ~1% to a peak of 3.1% before being reduced to near zero by late February 2025, based on continued observation and James Webb Space Telescope data▶ 0:16:26▶ 0:33:34▶ 0:49:03.

• Dr. Fox testified a 1% impact-probability threshold triggers a formal NASA notification process to federal agencies and the international community, while a 10% threshold would trigger a mitigation-strategy study; this was the first real-world use of the process▶ 0:48:36▶ 0:49:58.

• Dr. Payne said a 2024 YR4 impact would have carried energy equivalent to an 8-megaton bomb, "enough to kill millions" near a population center▶ 0:44:20.

• Chairman Babin and Dr. Mainzer discussed the DART mission's 2022 impact on Dimorphos as the first human alteration of a celestial body's orbit, proving kinetic-impact mitigation is feasible▶ 0:27:57▶ 0:36:34.

• Ranking Member Fushi and Rep. Lofgren detailed proposed FY2026 cuts: NASA down 24% overall, NASA Science Mission Directorate down 47%, NSF down 55%, DOE down 9%, State Department down 47%, and FEMA possibly eliminated▶ 0:16:44▶ 0:23:45.

• Babin noted Biden-era FY23 budget requests cut NEO Surveyor funding from $174.2 million to $39.9 million, and $33 million appropriated for the mission was redirected in 2022, pushing its launch from 2026 to no later than 2028 and its cost above $1 billion; Dr. Mainzer agreed the mission could have launched earlier with full funding▶ 1:01:08▶ 1:02:16.

• Dr. Fox confirmed she personally paused NASA's "Roses" annual grant solicitation, now three months overdue, to align it with the FY26 skinny budget and presidential priorities, targeting release by end of month▶ 1:07:36.

• Rep. Whitesides pressed Dr. Fox on whether NASA had taken any action that could risk loss of federal science data archives; she committed to informing the committee of any such executive-order-driven direction▶ 1:22:39▶ 1:23:09.

• Dr. Mainzer said objects as small as 20-50 meters (illustrated by the Canyon Diablo meteorite that made a mile-wide crater) can cause severe ground damage, suggesting NASA should consider a more aggressive detection goal below the statutory 140-meter threshold▶ 1:02:53▶ 1:03:20.

• Rep. Lofgren noted NASA's former chief technologist was present in the audience after being "riffed" (reduction-in-force) from the agency▶ 1:04:17.

Metadata

CommitteeHouse Science, Space, and Technology Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics
Chamber / CongressHouse · 119th Congress
DateMay 15, 2025
TypeHearing
Witnesses
Dr. Amy Mainzer — Professor, Department of Earth, Planetary, and Space Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles
Dr. Nicola Fox — Associate Administrator, Science Mission Directorate, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Dr. Matthew Payne — Director, Minor Planet Center, Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory
Videoyoutube
Transcript180 caption blocks · 13,471 words · 1:30:17 runtime
EventCongress.gov 118252