From Detection to Deflection: Evaluating NASA’s Planetary Defense Strategy

Commerce, Space, and Science NominationsHouse Science, Space, and Technology Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics · 2025-05-15 · 119th Congress
The House Science, Space, and Technology Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics held this hearing to review NASA's progress detecting and cataloging near-Earth objects (NEOs) under the George E. Begins at 0:11:38
Transcript
Highlights

Title

NASA's planetary defense progress and proposed NASA science budget cuts

Purpose

The House Science, Space, and Technology Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics held this hearing to review NASA's progress detecting and cataloging near-Earth objects (NEOs) under the George E. Brown Jr. Near-Earth Object Survey Act, the status of the NEO Surveyor mission, and the role of the Smithsonian's Minor Planet Center in tracking asteroids. The hearing also became a venue for sharp partisan exchange over the Trump administration's proposed FY2026 budget, which would cut NASA by roughly 24% overall and NASA's Science Mission Directorate by up to 47-50%. Begins at0:11:38

Who spoke

Chairman Herodopoulos0:11:38: Opened the hearing, noted the 2024 YR4 asteroid's initial 3% impact probability was lowered to below 0.01%0:12:33, cited the 2004 Apophis close approach0:13:19, and said NASA had identified only 44% of NEOs larger than 140 meters as of last September against a 90%-by-2020 statutory goal0:13:41; later questioned Dr. Fox on NASA's notification process for threat objects0:47:13 and lead times for mitigation0:49:36.

Ranking Member Fushi (D-NC)0:15:29: Warned the proposed FY2026 budget would cut NASA 24% and the Science Mission Directorate 47% from FY2025 levels0:16:44; cited nearly $20 million in canceled NSF grants to North Carolina0:18:11 and cancellation of a NASA support contract for the US Global Change Research Program0:19:36; later pressed Dr. Fox on who approved that cancellation0:52:40 and on AI funding needs0:56:35.

Rep. Babin (R-TX), full committee chairman0:21:18: Reviewed NASA's Planetary Defense Coordination Office role, the 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor (440 kilotons, ~30x Hiroshima)0:26:11, and the DART mission's 2022 impact on Dimorphos0:27:57; later questioned Dr. Fox on the deep space radar study following Arecibo's 2020 collapse0:58:23 and on NEO Surveyor funding cuts under the Biden FY23 budget request1:01:08.

Rep. Lofgren (D-CA), full committee ranking member0:21:18: Detailed the 2023 National Preparedness Strategy's multi-agency roles (NSF, DOE, DHS/FEMA, State)0:22:09 and warned of proposed cuts of 55% to NSF, 47% to State, and possible elimination of FEMA0:23:45; later asked Dr. Payne how Minor Planet Center data flows to Ames/JPL for impact assessment1:04:39 and pressed Dr. Fox on the delayed "Roses" grant solicitation1:06:51.

Dr. Nicola Fox, NASA Associate Administrator, Science Mission Directorate0:29:46: Described NASA's response process for the 2024 YR4 threat, including notifying agencies via acting administrator Janet Petro and using James Webb Space Telescope observations0:33:08; said NASA-funded telescopes have found 96% of all NEO discoveries0:34:24; confirmed she personally decided to pause the Roses solicitation pending the FY26 budget1:07:36; said NEO Surveyor remains on schedule and budget despite California wildfires costing about a month of schedule1:16:45.

Dr. Amy Mainzer, UCLA professor and NEO Surveyor mission lead0:37:17: Displayed meteorite samples (Canyon Diablo, Allende, a Chelyabinsk fragment) to illustrate impact hazards0:38:14; said the Chelyabinsk object sent about 1,600 people to hospitals from flying glass0:39:08; said NEO Surveyor will launch on a Falcon 9 from Kennedy Space Center in late 20270:41:19; estimated after 10 years of surveying NEO Surveyor would find roughly half of 50-meter-and-larger potentially hazardous objects1:03:50.

Dr. Matthew Payne, Director, Minor Planet Center0:41:44: Said the center processes more than 50 million observations yearly from 2,500+ observatories in 80 countries0:43:07 and tracks 38,000 known NEOs including 2,500+ potentially hazardous ones0:43:32; said a 2024 YR4 impact would have released energy equal to an 8-megaton bomb, potentially killing millions near a population center0:44:20; said the Vera Rubin Observatory and NEO Surveyor together will send the center 10 times more data than all current sources combined0:45:48.

Rep. Kennedy (R-UT) [0:29:46 not applicable; 1:09:29]: Asked Dr. Payne and Dr. Fox how their organizations coordinate data-sharing and rapid response worldwide1:10:16; highlighted Utah's Space Dynamics Laboratory's role building NEOISE and NEO Surveyor infrared detectors1:13:38.

Rep. Gillan (D-NY)1:14:55: Entered a 2022 bipartisan letter supporting NEO Surveyor into the record1:15:50; asked Dr. Mainzer and Dr. Fox about the impact of the "skinny budget" cuts on the surveyor's launch1:15:50; asked whether the moon faces impact risk from 2024 YR41:18:36.

Rep. Whitesides (D-CA)1:19:56: Noted the Minor Planet Center's roughly $3-4 million budget is a strong federal investment and NASA spends only about 1% of its budget on asteroid research and defense1:20:27; pressed Dr. Fox on scientific data archiving and requested advance notice of any directive risking loss of science data1:22:39; asked about topline impacts of a 50% NASA science cut1:23:38.

Rep. Salinas (D-OR)1:24:55: Linked NSF/NOAA/NASA cuts to risks for earthquake, tsunami, and wildfire research in Oregon1:24:55; asked Dr. Mainzer about combined federal funding streams supporting research institutions1:25:19; asked Dr. Payne and Dr. Mainzer about the value of expanding STEM opportunities to non-traditional and rural backgrounds after an NSF grant cancellation at the University of Oregon1:27:56.

Key moments

The 2024 YR4 asteroid's impact probability rose from an initial ~1% to a peak of 3.1% before being reduced to near zero by late February 2025, based on continued observation and James Webb Space Telescope data0:16:260:33:340:49:03.

Dr. Fox testified a 1% impact-probability threshold triggers a formal NASA notification process to federal agencies and the international community, while a 10% threshold would trigger a mitigation-strategy study; this was the first real-world use of the process0:48:360:49:58.

Dr. Payne said a 2024 YR4 impact would have carried energy equivalent to an 8-megaton bomb, "enough to kill millions" near a population center0:44:20.

Chairman Babin and Dr. Mainzer discussed the DART mission's 2022 impact on Dimorphos as the first human alteration of a celestial body's orbit, proving kinetic-impact mitigation is feasible0:27:570:36:34.

Ranking Member Fushi and Rep. Lofgren detailed proposed FY2026 cuts: NASA down 24% overall, NASA Science Mission Directorate down 47%, NSF down 55%, DOE down 9%, State Department down 47%, and FEMA possibly eliminated0:16:440:23:45.

Babin noted Biden-era FY23 budget requests cut NEO Surveyor funding from $174.2 million to $39.9 million, and $33 million appropriated for the mission was redirected in 2022, pushing its launch from 2026 to no later than 2028 and its cost above $1 billion; Dr. Mainzer agreed the mission could have launched earlier with full funding1:01:081:02:16.

Dr. Fox confirmed she personally paused NASA's "Roses" annual grant solicitation, now three months overdue, to align it with the FY26 skinny budget and presidential priorities, targeting release by end of month1:07:36.

Rep. Whitesides pressed Dr. Fox on whether NASA had taken any action that could risk loss of federal science data archives; she committed to informing the committee of any such executive-order-driven direction1:22:391:23:09.

Dr. Mainzer said objects as small as 20-50 meters (illustrated by the Canyon Diablo meteorite that made a mile-wide crater) can cause severe ground damage, suggesting NASA should consider a more aggressive detection goal below the statutory 140-meter threshold1:02:531:03:20.

Rep. Lofgren noted NASA's former chief technologist was present in the audience after being "riffed" (reduction-in-force) from the agency1:04:17.

Metadata

CommitteeHouse Science, Space, and Technology Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics
Chamber / CongressHouse · 119th Congress
Date2025-05-15
TypeHearing
Witnesses
Dr. Amy Mainzer — Professor, Department of Earth, Planetary, and Space Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles
Dr. Nicola Fox — Associate Administrator, Science Mission Directorate, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Dr. Matthew Payne — Director, Minor Planet Center, Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory
Videoyoutube
Transcript180 caption blocks · 13,471 words · 1:30:17 runtime
EventCongress.gov 118252