No Exit Strategy: Burma's Endless Crisis and America's Limited Options

Defense Posture and Global ThreatsHouse Foreign Affairs East Asia and Pacific Subcommittee · 2025-11-19 · 119th Congress
This joint hearing of the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittees on East Asia and the Pacific and on South and Central Asia examined Burma's deteriorating civil war, the military junta's planned December 2025 elections, the humanitarian crisis facing the Rohingya, and the proliferation of Chinese-linked scam centers defrauding Americans. Begins at 0:08:44
Transcript
Highlights

Title

Burma's sham elections, scam centers, and Rohingya humanitarian crisis

Purpose

This joint hearing of the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittees on East Asia and the Pacific and on South and Central Asia examined Burma's deteriorating civil war, the military junta's planned December 2025 elections, the humanitarian crisis facing the Rohingya, and the proliferation of Chinese-linked scam centers defrauding Americans. Three witnesses — Kelley Currie, Steve Ross, and Lucky Karim — testified on China's role propping up the junta, US sanctions and aid options, and conditions in Rohingya refugee camps in Bangladesh. Begins at0:08:44

Who spoke

Chairwoman Young Kim (R-CA)0:09:12: Opened by calling Burma a failed state with 3.6 million internally displaced people and the junta controlling about 20% of the country's land0:09:43; said Burma-linked scam networks steal billions from Americans yearly0:12:04; later questioned witnesses on whether any legitimate outcome could emerge from the December elections0:44:48 and on leverage over China-backed regime finances0:47:38.

Rep. Ami Bera (D-CA), Ranking Member0:13:23: Agreed the elections are illegitimate and called for cross-party pressure on China and cooperation with India and ASEAN0:14:55; later probed the junta-China relationship's tensions0:54:37 and pushed for a long-term US strategy beyond the ASEAN Five-Point Consensus0:57:04.

Rep. Bill Huizenga (R-MI), Chairman0:16:39: Cited a letter from 90+ civil society groups on the junta's role in instability0:18:40; described Russian helicopter and Chinese aircraft deliveries to the junta0:19:59 and the July 2025 election protection law criminalizing dissent0:20:48; later asked about sanctioning Myanmar's MEB bank0:55:08.

Rep. Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D-CA), Ranking Member0:22:33: Detailed the 1.5 million Rohingya refugees in Bangladesh and the 2023 US genocide determination0:22:56; noted the US cut Rohingya funding from $354.5 million in FY24 to $168 million in FY250:25:42; questioned Karim on aid cuts' impact on refugee quality of life0:49:47.

Kelley Currie, Atlantic Council0:28:29: Said China is the main beneficiary of Burma's conflict economies, including a $35 billion/year scam industry0:30:50 tied to Mexican drug cartels' money laundering0:31:41; urged full sanctions on the Myanmar Economic Bank0:56:53 and rejection of the elections0:45:15.

Lucky Karim, Refugee Women for Peace and Justice0:33:37: Testified she fled Burma at 14 in 2017 and lived six years in Cox's Bazar0:34:04; said WFP rations were cut from $12 to as low as $6/month per person0:35:24; urged passage of the Burma GAP Act and restoration of US refugee resettlement0:37:30.

Steve Ross, Stimson Center0:39:14: Called the Myanmar military the primary driver of instability, citing 20,000 political prisoners and 3.5 million displaced0:40:12; said the NLD won 86% of seats in 2020 versus 11% for parties contesting this year0:41:16; said $10 billion was lost to scams by Americans last year0:42:44.

Rep. Gerry Connolly-equivalent / Rep. Gabe Amo (D-RI)1:00:28: Cited reporting that Trump administration foreign aid cuts contributed to over 600,000 deaths worldwide including 400,000 children1:01:02; quoted a Rohingya father, Muhammad Taher, saying he lost his son to funding cuts1:02:25.

Rep. Scott Perry (R-PA)1:06:23: Objected to opening the hearing by "blaming" US taxpayers1:06:28; asked about the STAR asset-recovery system and SWIFT access as tools against the junta1:07:27.

Rep. Ami Bera, second round1:11:56: Asked Ross for an on-the-ground assessment, who said "stalemate" is the wrong term given shifting territorial gains1:12:32; pressed on ASEAN engagement and a special envoy for Burma1:15:03.

Rep. James Moylan (Guam)1:17:41: Cited a 2021 coup death toll of roughly 10,000 civilians and 3 million displaced1:18:12; asked Currie about the United Wa State Army and Burma's role as a regional drug hub1:20:01.

Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-WA)1:23:08: Asked why China's interest in the junta is itself a reason for US engagement1:24:12; pressed Currie on the lapsed Women, Peace and Security Act reporting and eliminated State Department offices1:37:24.

Rep. Victor Shrieve/André Carson-style (R-IN)1:29:23: Noted Indiana hosts roughly a quarter of the US Burmese population1:30:16; estimated the scam industry could be a $15 billion/year problem1:30:50; proposed a structured process to debrief freed scam-center victims1:31:18.

Rep. Joaquin Castro (D-TX)1:34:58: Asked Currie about her past leadership on the Women, Peace and Security Act1:34:58; noted the administration missed the October 31 statutory WPS report deadline1:37:24; asked Karim about US social media platforms' role in spreading anti-Rohingya hate speech1:39:37.

Rep. LaMonica McIver-style / Rep. Herbert Conaway (D-NJ)1:40:37: Asked Currie how aid can reach Rohingya despite junta checkpoints blocking humanitarian workers1:41:08; asked Ross how sanctions could pressure the junta on civilian rights1:42:21.

Rep. Randy Weber-style (R-TX)1:45:26: Asked whether Burma is becoming a client state of China via the Kyaukpyu port and pipelines1:45:41; asked about leverage over South Korea's POSCO and India's continued pipeline involvement1:48:50.

Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL)1:59:51: Asked Karim how Bangladesh's interim government's treatment of Rohingya differs from its predecessor2:00:33; asked Ross whether the October raid on scam centers reflected a genuine junta crackdown2:02:03.

Key moments

Currie said scam centers form a $35 billion-a-year global industry that functions as a money-laundering operation for Mexican drug cartels tied to fentanyl trafficking in the US0:30:500:31:41.

Huizenga entered into the record a letter from more than 90 civil society organizations stating Burma's military "has always been and remains today the single greatest source of instability and economic destruction in the country"0:18:40.

Ross said a 2023 law dissolved the NLD, which won 86% of seats in 2020; parties contesting the December 2025 election won only 11% combined, with the military-proxy USDP the only party to win more than five seats0:41:16.

Amo cited reporting that Trump administration foreign aid cuts and USAID's dismantling contributed to over 600,000 deaths worldwide, including 400,000 children, and quoted a Rohingya father who said he lost his son to the funding cuts1:01:021:02:25.

Currie disclosed about $1.5 billion in frozen Burmese foreign-exchange assets sitting untouched, which she said could be moved into a managed account with interest used for humanitarian needs, similar to the Russian-asset approach used for Ukraine1:09:19.

Perry pressed Ross and Currie on non-monetary pressure tools given the $38 trillion national debt; Currie proposed using the STAR asset-recovery system and targeting stolen scam/junta funds in crypto accounts1:07:271:11:18.

Currie and Ross agreed the October raid seizing Starlink devices at scam centers was "purely performative," with leadership tipped off in advance and evidence destroyed, and cited a fresh raid on the Koko scam center where thousands were reportedly notified beforehand2:02:232:03:11.

Castro noted the administration missed the October 31 statutory deadline for the Women, Peace and Security Act implementation report and had eliminated the State Department's Bureau of Conflict and Stabilization Operations; Currie called the retreat "foolish and short-sighted"1:37:521:38:48.

Kamlager-Dove said US funding for Rohingya refugees fell from $354.5 million in FY2024 to $168 million in FY2025, even as food rations amount to roughly $12/day0:25:42.

Currie said China treats Burma as its "gateway to the Indian Ocean" via the Kyaukpyu port and pipelines, and that Chinese armed police now operate inside Burmese territory to protect that infrastructure — something she called unprecedented in Burma's history1:46:071:46:59.

Metadata

CommitteeHouse Foreign Affairs East Asia and Pacific Subcommittee
Chamber / CongressHouse · 119th Congress
Date2025-11-19
TypeHearing
Witnesses
Steve Ross — Senior Fellow, Stimson Center
The Honorable Kelley Currie — Non-resident Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council's Indo-Pacific Security Initiative
Lucky Karim — Executive Director, Refugee Women for Peace and Justice (RWPJ)
Videoyoutube
Transcript333 caption blocks · 19,377 words · 2:06:15 runtime
EventCongress.gov 118674