Weaponized Mass Migration: A Security Risk to Europe and the United States

Defense Posture and Global ThreatsHouse Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Europe · February 10, 2026 · 119th Congress
The House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Europe held this hearing to examine how Russia and Belarus deliberately engineer migration flows to destabilize European states and strain NATO cohesion, building on a prior subcommittee hearing on Russian and Chinese hybrid warfare tactics. Begins at ▶ 0:00:02
Transcript
Highlights

Title

Weaponized migration as a hybrid warfare tool against Europe and the US

Purpose

The House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Europe held this hearing to examine how Russia and Belarus deliberately engineer migration flows to destabilize European states and strain NATO cohesion, building on a prior subcommittee hearing on Russian and Chinese hybrid warfare tactics. Witnesses from the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, the Hudson Institute, and the Migration Policy Institute testified on the mechanics of weaponized migration, its effects on NATO military readiness, and possible policy responses, while members debated how to distinguish weaponized migration from broader migration trends. Begins at▶ 0:00:02

Who spoke

• Chairman August Pfluger (R-TX)▶ 0:00:02: Opened by framing weaponized migration as part of Russia and China's hybrid warfare playbook, citing a jump in illegal Belarus-Poland border crossings from 3 in 2018 to over 25,000 in 2025▶ 0:01:24; later questioned witnesses on messaging the threat as security rather than humanitarian▶ 0:27:15 and on Schengen zone vulnerabilities▶ 0:31:37.

• Rep. William Keating (D-MA), Ranking Member▶ 0:04:10: Warned against "us versus them" rhetoric and criticized the Trump administration's National Security Strategy for raising "European civilization erasure"▶ 0:07:06; cited cuts to the State Department's Countering Violent Extremism office, INL funding, and DHS's Targeted Violence and Terrorism Prevention Grant▶ 0:07:50▶ 0:08:40; later asked how sovereign EU states coordinate a common migration response▶ 0:34:34.

• Rear Admiral (Ret.) Mark Montgomery, FDD▶ 0:10:53: Testified Russia displaced over 6.5 million Ukrainians early in the war▶ 0:12:22 and that non-European migrant arrivals on the EU's eastern border rose 200% since the invasion▶ 0:12:49; said weaponized migration has cost Poland an estimated €30 billion over four years▶ 0:14:15 and Poland deployed 15,000 troops to its Belarus border in November 2021▶ 0:14:45; recommended sanctions on Belarusian airlines and companies facilitating migrant transport▶ 0:15:42.

• Matthew Boyse, Hudson Institute▶ 0:15:42: Described writing about East German weaponized migration to West Berlin as early as 1985▶ 0:16:09; cited Kremlin ideologues Dugin, Surkov, and Vladimirov on using migration to destabilize rivals▶ 0:18:47; noted every NATO member now has at least one party focused on migration/Islam issues▶ 0:20:48.

• Natalia Banulescu-Bogdan, Migration Policy Institute▶ 0:22:11: Argued restrictive/punitive measures alone are insufficient and that resilience-building works better, citing the EU's Temporary Protection Directive granting nearly 5 million Ukrainians legal status within days of the 2022 invasion▶ 0:25:30; described the EU's pact on migration and asylum taking effect in July▶ 0:25:53.

• Rep. Joe Wilson (R-SC)▶ 0:37:19: Praised Indian-American immigration success, noting Indian Americans own 60% of US hotels/motels▶ 0:38:18; called Russia's role in Syrian displacement an "act of war" and touted the bipartisan HARM 2.0 Act designating a Wagner Group successor as a terrorist organization▶ 0:39:15; asked about US relations with Belarus's Lukashenka regime▶ 0:41:38.

• Rep. Jim Costa (D-CA)▶ 0:43:24: Called Russia "a syndicate masquerading as a state" with Putin as "mob boss"▶ 0:44:03; asked witnesses about an estimated 25,000–50,000 Ukrainian children forcibly taken to Russia▶ 0:45:23; pressed on consequences if Putin prevails in Ukraine▶ 0:46:58.

• Rep. Warren Davidson (R-OH)▶ 0:49:36: Cited the National Security Strategy's "civilization erasure" language and a 2024 European Court of Justice fine of Hungary for €200 million (rising to over €500 million by April 2025) over asylum law violations▶ 0:51:22; questioned whether Ireland can be a "safe third country" for African asylum seekers given its geography▶ 0:54:24.

• Rep. Young Kim (R-CA)▶ 0:55:47: Asked how Belarus operationalized the 2021 migrant crisis, prompting testimony that Belarus opened travel agencies and flew migrants directly to the border with wire cutters provided▶ 0:57:10; asked whether Russia is likely to replicate the playbook elsewhere, particularly the Sahel and North Africa▶ 0:59:54.

• Rep. Randy Fine (R-FL)▶ 1:01:50: Cited crime statistics — 60% of France's prison population, 18% in the UK, 63% of convicted rapists in Sweden with immigrant background — arguing Russia weaponizes Muslim migration knowing it fuels backlash▶ 1:02:19; pressed witnesses on whether Russia itself wants Muslim migration domestically▶ 1:02:46.

• Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL)▶ 1:07:07: Argued unchecked migration strains schools, hospitals, and housing▶ 1:07:34; submitted news articles on Cologne and Freiburg sexual assault cases into the record, asking Montgomery to confirm they were not Russian propaganda▶ 1:09:55.

Key moments

• Chairman Pfluger cited Belarus-Poland illegal crossing attempts rising from 3 in 2018 to over 25,000 in 2025 as evidence of state-orchestrated migration▶ 0:01:24.

• Montgomery testified that weaponized migration has cost Poland roughly €30 billion over four years and forced Poland to deploy 15,000 troops to its Belarus border in November 2021, diverting them from other training missions▶ 0:14:15▶ 0:14:45.

• Boyse and Montgomery agreed weaponized migration is effective precisely because it exploits Western humanitarian norms against democracies, with Boyse calling the Kremlin's cynicism "quite extraordinary"▶ 0:29:31.

• Banulescu-Bogdan highlighted the EU's Temporary Protection Directive as a success story, granting nearly 5 million Ukrainians legal status, housing, healthcare, and labor market access within days of Russia's 2022 invasion▶ 0:25:30.

• Costa and Banulescu-Bogdan/Montgomery discussed estimates of 25,000 to 50,000 Ukrainian children forcibly taken to Russia, some later manipulated into fighting against their own country▶ 0:45:32▶ 0:45:58.

• Davidson cited the European Court of Justice's fine against Hungary — €200 million in 2024, rising to over €500 million by April 2025 — for refusing to comply with EU asylum policy▶ 0:51:22▶ 0:51:39.

• Fine and Montgomery sparred over whether crime statistics tied to migrant populations in France, the UK, Sweden, and Switzerland reflect "weaponized" versus general migration, with Montgomery distinguishing Russian-orchestrated flows from broader migration trends▶ 1:05:15.

• Luna pressed Banulescu-Bogdan and Montgomery on whether advocating strong borders makes someone a "Nazi"; both witnesses said no▶ 1:08:53▶ 1:09:04.

• Montgomery warned that if Russia prevails in Ukraine, Moldova would fall next, followed by pressure on the Baltic states and the Suwalki Gap, with Belarus eventually subsumed into Russia▶ 0:47:19▶ 0:47:27.

• Keating noted the Trump administration eliminated DHS's Targeted Violence and Terrorism Prevention Grant and replaced its 22-year-old office head, whose predecessor was an Army veteran with two decades of national security experience▶ 0:08:40▶ 0:09:09.

Metadata

CommitteeHouse Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Europe
Chamber / CongressHouse · 119th Congress
DateFebruary 10, 2026
TypeHearing
Witnesses
Rear Admiral Upper Half Mark Montgomery — CCTI Senior Director and Senior Fellow, Foundation for Defense of Democracies
Mr. Matthew Boyse — Senior Fellow, Center on Europe and Eurasia, Hudson Institute
Ms. Natalia Banulescu-Bogdan — Deputy Director, International Program, Migration Policy Institute
Videoyoutube
Transcript179 caption blocks · 12,053 words · 1:16:51 runtime
EventCongress.gov 118911