Examining Customer Protections and Market Integrity in Sports Event Prediction Markets

Digital Assets and Bank RegulationHouse Agriculture Subcommittee on Commodity Markets, Digital Assets, and Rural Development · 2026-07-21 · 119th Congress
The House Agriculture Subcommittee on Commodity Markets, Digital Assets, and Rural Development held this hearing to examine whether sports-related event contracts on CFTC-regulated prediction markets amount to sports betting, whether the CFTC has sufficient authority and resources to police these fast-growing markets, and whether Congress needs to legislate to clarify jurisdiction and consumer protections. Begins at 0:02:26
Transcript
Highlights

Title

CFTC oversight of sports prediction markets and consumer protection

Purpose

The House Agriculture Subcommittee on Commodity Markets, Digital Assets, and Rural Development held this hearing to examine whether sports-related event contracts on CFTC-regulated prediction markets amount to sports betting, whether the CFTC has sufficient authority and resources to police these fast-growing markets, and whether Congress needs to legislate to clarify jurisdiction and consumer protections. Witnesses debated the CFTC's exclusive federal jurisdiction under the Commodity Exchange Act versus state and tribal gaming authority, self-certification of contracts, and the agency's roughly 20% staffing cut. Begins at0:02:26

Who spoke

Chairman Dusty Johnson (R-SD), Subcommittee Chair0:02:26: Opened by framing prediction markets as long-standing but rapidly growing, noting tens of billions in monthly transactions0:03:13 and stressing the CFTC is not a gambling regulator but must ensure sound, customer-protective markets0:05:00; later questioned witnesses on state preemption risk to CFTC exclusivity0:47:29.

Ranking Member Don Davis (D-NC)0:05:57: Said the hearing should ask whether existing safeguards and regulatory responsibilities are clearly defined0:06:52, and noted the CFTC's core mission supporting agricultural markets must be preserved0:08:02; later questioned witnesses on CFTC resource needs0:48:57.

Chairman Glenn "GT" Thompson (R-PA), Full Committee Chair0:09:09: Said the CEA gives the CFTC broad, exclusive jurisdiction over swaps and event contracts0:10:02, welcomed the Commission's June public-interest rulemaking0:10:57, and said Congress would consider legislation if authority gaps are found0:11:22; later asked Kennedy to explain the core principles regime0:54:21.

Ranking Member Angie Craig (D-MN), Full Committee Ranking Member0:12:17: Said the CFTC needs a fully appointed commission and more resources, citing a 20% staff cut from DOGE efforts0:13:130:13:36 and a $10 million FY27 budget cut despite the administration's requested increase0:14:16; called Chairman Selig's proposal insufficient0:15:20.

Robert Schwartz, Partner, Morgan Lewis (former CFTC General Counsel)0:17:48: Argued the CEA's swap definition is sweeping and gives the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over event contracts0:20:43, said the agency can bar contracts contrary to the public interest and Congress can ban products outright as it did with onions in 19580:22:09; later called the CFTC's order to Kalshi over the Michigan court dispute "an extraordinary flex"0:33:34 and detailed the emergency-authority order2:03:41.

David Bean, Chairman, Indian Gaming Association0:22:57: Said prediction markets offer nationwide sports gambling to 18-year-olds by exploiting a weak, one-commissioner agency0:23:23, cited 682,000 rural jobs from Indian gaming in 20200:23:52, and urged passage of H.R. 7840 and a Clarity Act savings clause protecting IGRA0:27:07; described a nephew's high-school classmates gambling online1:13:40 and a college freshman going $300,000 into debt1:59:34.

Christopher Cylke, SVP Government Relations, American Gaming Association0:28:07: Said sports event contracts "make a mockery of congressional intent" and are backdoor sportsbooks0:28:39, citing $329 billion in economic contribution and estimating states/tribes have lost over $1.2 billion in tax revenue0:29:200:30:21; argued prediction markets lack responsible-gaming safeguards like self-exclusion lists2:02:22.

Carl Kennedy, Partner, Katten Muchin Rosenman LLP0:32:53: Argued the right question is whether a contract meets existing CFTC core principles, not whether sports contracts should be categorically banned0:33:44, likened regulatory "lanes" to gold trading under CFTC, SEC, and state regimes0:34:37, and said self-certified contracts already face 23 core principles plus a 10-day, 90-day public-interest review backstop0:36:04.

Asaf Meir, Founder & CEO, Solidus Labs0:38:52: Said one DCM client's compliance team monitored over 120,000 alerts across 20,000 markets and opened 400 investigations in Q2 alone0:41:23; acknowledged sports contracts pose novel surveillance challenges from short-lived, high-volume, binary-outcome listings0:42:02, and described detecting colluding accounts and bet-splitting to evade thresholds1:02:05.

Rep. Nikki Buczynski0:59:31: Described her bipartisan PREDICT Act barring officials from trading on policy outcomes0:59:55 and pressed panelists on whether self-certification submissions adequately detail manipulation risk1:01:07.

Rep. Frank Lucas (R-OK)1:04:38: Focused on derivatives markets as risk-management tools for agriculture and energy1:05:01, and asked whether self-certification needs refinement1:06:01.

Rep. Shomari Figures (D-AL)1:10:06: Said CFTC funding and staffing haven't kept pace with new responsibilities1:10:32, and asked whether the real fix is more regulation of prediction markets or deregulation of traditional gaming1:12:41.

Rep. David Scott (R-GA)1:15:29: Entered a Wall Street Journal article on insider prediction-market trading into the record1:15:52, and pressed on why federal rather than state prosecutors have handled sportsbook corruption cases1:19:33.

Rep. Jonathan Jackson (D-IL)1:21:00: Asked about stress-testing and liquidity standards for exchanges1:21:52, and how responsibilities should divide among CFTC, state regulators, and leagues1:23:14.

Rep. Roger Marshall / Kansas member ("Mr. Mann") (R-KS)1:26:45: Raised concern that the Clarity Act's DeFi safe harbor could inadvertently permit unregulated sports contracts1:27:40, and asked Kennedy to explain controversy over Rule 4011(a)1:29:40.

Rep. Kristen McDonald Rivet (D-MI)1:32:13: Pressed on CFTC Chairman Selig's order directing Kalshi to defy a Michigan court order canceling contracts1:32:42, calling it a stark example of federal-state conflict1:34:38.

Rep. Victoria Spartz-type member ("Mr. Smith," R-IN)1:37:08: Sought clarification that consumers have "proper lanes" for both investing and sports betting1:38:36, and asked how the CFTC's public-interest test distinguishes contract types1:41:10.

Rep. Jill Tokuda (D-HI)1:42:03: Asked whether tribes/states can revoke licenses for insider betting failures1:42:22, cited the President's teleprompter technician placing $100,000 in bets1:42:48, and pressed all witnesses on respecting states' rights1:45:34.

Rep. Ryan Taylor / "Mr. Taylor" (R-??)1:47:14: Asked how FCMs, exchanges, and the NFA cooperate with the CFTC to police markets1:48:10, and whether the proposed rule adequately prevents insider trading1:50:44.

Rep. Kristen McLean Delaney (D-??)1:52:04: Cited a Common Sense Media report that over a third of boys 11-17 gambled in the past year, 12% on sports1:52:31, described youth-targeted social media ads for prediction markets1:53:27, and pressed all witnesses for yes/no on responsible-gaming/youth-advertising rules1:54:19.

Rep. Rob Bresnahan (R-PA)1:57:51: Asked Bean to elaborate on claims that prediction markets lack age verification or funds verification1:58:10, and asked Cylke about safeguards required of Pennsylvania-licensed operators2:01:34.

Key moments

Bean said prediction markets have taken the CFTC "from crops to props," operating under a one-person commission with no new congressional authorization0:26:13.

Cylke said industry lawyers argued in federal court less than two years ago that "the legislative history directly confirms Congress did not want sports betting to be conducted on derivatives markets" — a statement he said the AGA agrees with0:28:39.

Kennedy countered that federal jurisdiction doesn't erase state or tribal gambling authority, comparing sports contracts to gold traded simultaneously under state, CFTC, and SEC regimes0:35:07.

Craig cited the CFTC's staff reduced by 20% and a $10 million FY27 budget cut despite the administration requesting an increase0:13:360:14:16.

Cylke estimated states and tribes have lost more than $1.2 billion in gaming tax revenue since prediction markets began offering sports event contracts0:30:21.

McDonald Rivet detailed CFTC Chairman Selig's order directing Kalshi to ignore a Michigan court order to cancel contracts in violation of state law; Schwartz called it "an extraordinary flex" and noted it had been 46 years since the Commission last used its emergency authority1:32:421:34:062:04:34.

Meir testified one DCM client monitored over 120,000 alerts across 20,000 markets, opened 400 investigations, and referred two dozen cases to law enforcement in Q2 alone0:41:23.

Bean cited an example of a college freshman going $300,000 into debt through unregulated prediction-market gambling1:59:34, and Delaney cited Common Sense Media data that 12% of boys 11-17 spent real money on sports gambling1:52:31.

Kennedy explained that under CFTC Rule 4011, contracts tied to single actors or integrity-sensitive events like injuries/officiating are "highly likely" to be found contrary to the public interest, unlike broad final-score contracts1:42:03.

Scott entered a July 18, 2026 Wall Street Journal article into the record alleging political insider information led to Polymarket bets1:15:52, and separately Tokuda cited the President's teleprompter technician placing $100,000 in bets on Kalshi tied to his speeches1:42:48.

Metadata

CommitteeHouse Agriculture Subcommittee on Commodity Markets, Digital Assets, and Rural Development
Chamber / CongressHouse · 119th Congress
Date2026-07-21
TypeHearing
Witnesses
Mr. Robert Schwartz — Partner, Morgan, Lewis & Bockius
Mr. David Bean — Chairman, Indian Gaming Association
Mr. Christopher Cylke — Senior Vice President, Government Relations, American Gaming Association
Mr. Carl Kennedy — Partner, Co-Chair, Financial Markets and Regulation Practices, Katten Muchin Rosenman LLP
Mr. Asaf Meir — Founder & Chief Executive Officer, Solidus Labs
Videoyoutube
Transcript284 caption blocks · 20,314 words · 2:07:31 runtime
EventCongress.gov 119478