AIIndo-Pacific Command and Forces Korea posture amid China, North Korea threats

Defense Posture and Global ThreatsSenate Armed Services · 2025-04-10 · 119th Congress
The Senate Armed Services Committee held this open posture hearing, following an earlier closed session, to examine the FY2026 defense budget request and threat environment for U.S. Begins at 0:15:06
Transcript
Highlights

Title

Indo-Pacific Command and Forces Korea posture amid China, North Korea threats

Purpose

The Senate Armed Services Committee held this open posture hearing, following an earlier closed session, to examine the FY2026 defense budget request and threat environment for U.S. Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM) and U.S. Forces Korea. Commander Adm. Samuel Paparo (INDOPACOM) and Commander Gen. Xavier Brunson (USFK) testified on China's military buildup and pressure on Taiwan, North Korea's nuclear and missile programs and its support to Russia, and logistics, shipbuilding, and force-posture gaps facing U.S. forces in the region. Members also pressed the witnesses on the effects of tariffs, troop levels, and cuts to foreign assistance and information programs on alliance relationships. Begins at0:15:06

Who spoke

Chair Roger Wicker (R-MS)0:15:06: Opened by describing China's Strait Thunder 2025A exercise simulating a blockade of Taiwan0:15:38 and rhetoric against Taiwan's president0:16:06; later pressed both witnesses on whether reducing troops in Korea would be a good or bad idea0:34:46 and on Chinese leasing interest in Adak, Alaska1:52:11.

Sen. Jack Reed (D-RI), Ranking Member0:21:18: Warned the Trump administration may shrink troop presence in Korea/Japan and scale back a joint force headquarters in Japan0:22:43; asked about the diversion of INDOPACOM ships/aircraft to the Middle East, including B-2 bombers to Diego Garcia0:43:53.

Gen. Xavier Brunson, Commander, U.S. Forces Korea0:26:19: Said North Korea launched 47 ballistic missiles in 20240:28:08 and stole roughly $1.5 billion in cryptocurrency0:29:29; testified South Korea contributes about $1.4 trillion won (~$1 billion) in-kind support and hosts 2,100 U.S. companies tied to 450,000 jobs0:40:570:41:19; said he would recommend the NDAA again set a floor of 28,500 troops in Korea0:42:18.

Adm. Samuel Paparo, Commander, U.S. INDOPACOM0:30:05: Said PLA military pressure against Taiwan increased 300% in 20240:30:58; estimated a Taiwan conflict could cause a 25% GDP contraction in Asia, 10-12% U.S. GDP reduction, and 500,000 "excess deaths of despair"0:46:340:46:51; said China is producing fighters at a 1.2-to-1 rate over the U.S.0:36:56 and combatants at 6-to-11:09:03; cited a 60% shortfall in combat logistics ships and 73 C-17 loads needed to move one Patriot battalion0:57:320:58:24.

Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR)0:45:06: Asked why Taiwan matters more than past cases like Tibet or Hong Kong, prompting Paparo's economic-impact estimate0:45:24; asked what INDOPACOM most needs to deter conflict, eliciting Paparo's answer on counter-C5ISR capability0:49:49.

Sen. Mazie Hirono (D-HI)0:51:13: Asked how dismantling USAID affects INDOPACOM's security-cooperation relationships0:53:22; questioned whether disbanding a DOJ crypto-crimes prosecution team, given North Korean crypto theft, was concerning0:54:47.

Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA)0:56:33: Focused on theater logistics gaps, prompting Paparo's sealift and tanker-fleet shortfall figures0:57:26; asked how Congress could help accelerate logistics improvements0:59:15.

Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA)1:01:46: Questioned Brunson on whether Kim Jong Un would invade the South absent U.S. presence1:01:46; criticized the administration's tariffs on allies including Australia and Japan as counterproductive to alliance-based deterrence1:27:17.

Sen. Angus King (I-ME)1:02:26: Pressed Brunson on North Korea's "one whole country" rhetoric and whether it implies invasion intent1:02:42; asked Paparo whether reduced U.S. support for Taiwan would incentivize Japan and South Korea to pursue independent nuclear capability1:06:58.

Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL)1:07:51: Asked how much of Paparo's time is spent countering China and whether China's WTO-driven economic growth funded its military buildup1:08:101:09:16; questioned readiness of C-130s, amphibious ships, and unmanned airlift options1:10:531:12:22.

Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH)1:13:00: Asked about the effect of ending Voice of America and Radio Free Asia funding given China's $1 billion/year disinformation spending1:13:30; raised concerns about South Korea and Japan renewing trade talks with China amid U.S. tariff uncertainty1:16:06.

Sen. Ted Budd (R-NC)1:18:00: Asked about the mission of rotational fighter squadrons at Kadena and the F-15EX's role1:18:051:19:29; asked about special operations forces demand and DPRK-Russia-China military cooperation risks1:20:091:22:31.

Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ)1:23:57: Asked Paparo about the Baucus Framework and AUKUS submarine basing value1:25:57; questioned tradeoffs of adding SLCM-N to Virginia-class submarines against conventional torpedo capacity1:46:261:47:13; asked Brunson about reported plans to withdraw up to 10,000 troops from Eastern Europe and reduce/re-task Korea forces1:49:19.

Sen. Jim Banks (R-IN)1:41:52: Pressed Paparo on the sea-launched cruise missile-nuclear (SLCM-N) program's deterrent value against China1:41:57 and urged accelerating delivery ahead of the 2034 deadline1:43:55; asked about the Army's forthcoming long-range hypersonic weapon1:44:26.

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK)2:03:20: Highlighted joint Russian-Chinese naval activity in the North Pacific and pressed Paparo to publicly endorse reopening Naval Air Station Adak2:04:202:05:29; raised concern about a Chinese shipping company's interest in leasing Adak land2:07:42.

Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-CT)2:09:15: Asked whether aircraft carriers and submarines are increasingly vulnerable to Chinese AI, cyber, and hypersonic capabilities2:09:422:12:29.

Sen. Eric Schmitt (R-MO)1:52:11: Asked about the strategic importance of the Panama Canal to force flow to the Indo-Pacific1:52:11; asked about C-130 airlift limitations for Korea and next steps on partner-yard ship maintenance1:53:311:55:43.

Sen. Gary Peters (D-MI)1:57:23: Asked about the value of the Northern Strike exercise to INDOPACOM readiness and noted he is cosponsoring permanent funding for it1:58:35; asked how USFK is countering Chinese and Russian cyber and disinformation pressure on South Korea1:58:56.

Sen. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI)2:15:50: As Taiwan Caucus co-chair, asked Paparo to explain the value of allies and partners to any Taiwan contingency2:16:39; argued the administration's tariffs and treatment of allies undermine its stated China-deterrence goals2:19:08.

Key moments

Paparo estimated a Taiwan conflict would cause a 25% GDP contraction in Asia, a 10-12% U.S. GDP reduction, seven-to-ten point unemployment spikes, and roughly 500,000 "excess deaths of despair"0:46:340:46:51.

Paparo said China is building combat ships at a 6-to-1 ratio and fighters at 1.2-to-1 over the United States, while its military has grown 10 to 15 fold in the last 20 years0:36:561:09:48.

Paparo revealed combat logistics capacity meets only about 60% of requirement, 17 combat logistics ships are laid up for lack of manpower, and moving a single Patriot battalion required 73 C-17 loads0:57:320:58:010:58:54.

Sen. King pressed Brunson on an apparent contradiction — Brunson said Kim Jong Un likely would not invade the South, yet described North Korea hardening its border and abandoning reunification language — prompting Paparo to clarify that reduced U.S. force presence would raise the probability of invasion1:01:461:02:521:03:12.

Paparo confirmed reopening Naval Air Station Adak in Alaska is warranted, noting a Chinese shipping company (which he called a likely PLA front) has shown leasing interest in the strategic site2:05:352:08:17.

Sen. Kaine and Sen. Slotkin directly criticized the administration's tariffs on allies (Australia, despite a U.S. trade surplus; Japan at 25%) and broader treatment of partners as undermining the alliance-based deterrence strategy Paparo himself described as the U.S. "strategic center of gravity"1:27:172:16:392:19:08.

Paparo said China supplied roughly 70% of Russia's machine tools and 90% of legacy chips enabling its war-machine rebuild, while Russia reciprocates with submarine-quieting and other military technology help to China1:24:30.

Sullivan noted the Navy's Chief of Naval Operations sent a team to assess reopening Adak and that a final report with low/medium/high scenarios was expected within two weeks; Paparo committed to working with NORTHCOM on the timeline2:06:132:06:21.

Blumenthal asked whether aircraft carriers are vulnerable "sitting ducks"; Paparo responded they are "a moving duck with the ability to defend itself" and are targeted precisely because of their unique value, not unique vulnerability2:09:422:10:03.

Paparo said the U.S. builds only about 1% of world shipbuilding tonnage compared to South Korea's 23% and Japan's 15%, underscoring reliance on partner shipyards for maintenance1:56:041:56:33.

Metadata

Official titleClosed hearings to examine the posture of United States Indo-Pacific Command and United States Forces Korea in review of the Defense Authorization Request for fiscal year 2026 and the Future Years Defense Program; to be immediately followed by an open hearing at 9:30 a.m. in SD-G50.
CommitteeSenate Armed Services
Chamber / CongressSenate · 119th Congress
Date2025-04-10
TypeMeeting
Witnesses
(none listed in event metadata)
Videosenate-isvp
Transcript403 caption blocks · 15,935 words · 2:21:38 runtime
EventCongress.gov 336813