Hearings to examine exploring process approaches for addressing Social Security solvency

Health Care Costs and Drug PricingSenate Finance · August 5, 2026 · 119th Congress
The Senate Finance Committee held this hearing to examine proposed legislative processes—such as bipartisan commissions or expedited procedures—for addressing Social Security's looming insolvency, with the Old Age and Survivor Insurance Trust Fund projected to be exhausted in late 2032, triggering a roughly 22% cut in benefits [0:21:40]. Begins at ▶ 0:21:05
Transcript
Highlights

Title

Examining process approaches for Social Security solvency reform

Purpose

The Senate Finance Committee held this hearing to examine proposed legislative processes—such as bipartisan commissions or expedited procedures—for addressing Social Security's looming insolvency, with the Old Age and Survivor Insurance Trust Fund projected to be exhausted in late 2032, triggering a roughly 22% cut in benefits▶ 0:21:32. Chair Crapo emphasized the hearing was not about endorsing a specific solvency plan but about evaluating process options, drawing on precedents like the 1983 Greenspan Commission and the Simpson-Bowles Commission▶ 0:23:11. Four witnesses testified on the merits and risks of commission-based versus regular-order approaches, followed by member questioning. Begins at▶ 0:21:05

Who spoke

• Chair Mike Crapo (R-ID)▶ 0:21:05: Opened by describing the trust fund's 2032 exhaustion date and the 78% benefit level that would follow without action▶ 0:21:32, cited his past work on the Bowles-Simpson Commission and Gang of Six▶ 0:22:53, and later pushed back on the idea Republicans lack a plan, noting several senators present have offered proposals▶ 0:50:10.

• Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR), Ranking Member▶ 0:24:42: Argued a commission would be an "unaccountable" vehicle for benefit cuts and pressed for public, in-committee debate instead▶ 0:25:11; said the "big beautiful bill" cost Social Security $168 billion per the SSA actuary▶ 0:26:08; touted his billionaire income tax bill with 22 co-sponsors▶ 1:23:06.

• Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA)▶ 0:31:07: Said the bill under discussion sets up a process, not a specific solution, and any senator could offer a substitute▶ 0:31:54; warned of a 22–28% benefit cut or 40% tax increase without action▶ 0:33:20; later got Ms. Leamond to agree AARP could accept a bipartisan working-group process without the Social Security Actuary Board▶ 1:27:42.

• Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA)▶ 0:36:10: Noted Social Security's 75-year shortfall grew from $4 trillion in 2010 to $30 trillion today▶ 0:38:24; said Virginia's average retiree would lose over $500/month, or $17,000/year for a couple, if the trust fund is depleted▶ 0:37:22; proposed automatic 10-year solvency resets▶ 0:38:49.

• Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI)▶ 0:40:32: Called Social Security a "legal Ponzi scheme" and the trust fund's government bonds "a fiction" with no real value▶ 0:41:28; cited a table showing returns ranging from $0.59 to $4.78 per dollar paid in▶ 0:42:32; argued the core problem is the $40 trillion national debt, not benefit design▶ 0:40:57.

• Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI)▶ 0:45:35: Said Democrats have introduced solvency legislation (the Medicare and Social Security Fair Share Act) and asked "where is the Republican proposal?"▶ 0:46:37; got Mr. Goldwein to confirm his bill scores as solvent, or close to it, against current SSA/Medicare actuarial baselines▶ 1:29:37.

• Mr. Marc Goldwein, Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget▶ 0:54:26: Said insolvency in six years would mean a 22% cut (~$500/month) and that covering the gap from general funds would require $190 trillion in new borrowing over 75 years▶ 0:54:52; recommended a commission, council, or similar body to facilitate agreement, noting most major Social Security legislation historically originated from such bodies▶ 0:56:17; later said HR1's expanded senior deduction reduced benefit-tax revenue into the trust fund, accelerating insolvency▶ 2:08:08.

• Dr. Charles Blahous, Mercatus Center▶ 0:59:23: Argued Social Security solvency preserves the program's non-welfare character because benefits are tied to individual contributions▶ 0:59:48; warned the shortfall has grown from 19% to 30% of future benefit claims in a decade, meaning speed is essential▶ 1:01:11; said a comprehensive bipartisan solution would likely require raising the payroll tax cap▶ 2:03:38.

• Ms. Nancy Leamond, AARP▶ 1:04:27: Said AARP's position is to protect benefits without cuts, achieved through regular order in the Finance and Ways and Means Committees rather than a commission▶ 1:05:37; cited that 81% of older Americans across party lines reject cutting benefits to save the program▶ 1:07:55; confirmed AARP does not support benefit cuts▶ 1:30:01 and supports raising the payroll tax cap▶ 2:03:29.

• Ms. Kathleen Romig Vallas, National Academy of Social Insurance▶ 1:09:27: Cited Academy survey research finding more than 75% of Republicans, over 90% of Democrats, and over 80% of independents want lawmakers to strengthen Social Security's revenue base▶ 1:11:34; said 82% prefer a package that both closes the financing gap and improves benefit adequacy▶ 1:12:20; noted Americans strongly oppose raising the retirement age or cutting benefits▶ 2:02:05▶ 2:02:39.

• Sen. John Hassan (D-NH)▶ 1:37:23: Asked Goldwein how eliminating the payroll tax cap would affect solvency; he said it could close roughly half of the 75-year shortfall▶ 1:38:22; raised AARP-backed identity-theft legislation, citing $7.7 billion stolen from seniors by scammers in 2025, a 30% increase from 2024▶ 1:38:57.

• Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)▶ 1:42:36: Argued the payroll tax cap, at $184,500, means high earners like corporate lawyers pay Social Security tax on only a fraction of income while nurses and construction workers pay on all of it▶ 1:44:58; said scrapping the cap (with Sen. Moreno) would protect benefits for at least two decades▶ 1:45:14.

• Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA)▶ 1:48:11: Asked whether commissions besides 1983 have sparked bipartisan action; Goldwein cited Simpson-Bowles, which prompted 45 senators to call for legislation based on it▶ 1:49:17; advised AARP to spend advertising money warning the public about the looming cut rather than only opposing cuts▶ 1:52:21.

• Sen. James Lankford (R-OK)▶ 1:53:33: Said the goal is to stabilize the program so no one loses benefits, and supported a nonpartisan commission of members to develop recommendations for a floor vote▶ 1:54:08; criticized AARP's "don't cut our Social Security" messaging as discouraging necessary conversation▶ 1:56:26.

• Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT)▶ 1:59:13: Said about half of seniors live on $30,000/year or less and roughly 20% survive on $15,000/year▶ 1:59:42; cited a 2023 SSA chief actuary finding that lifting the payroll tax cap could extend solvency 75 years and allow a $2,400 annual benefit increase without raising taxes on the 90% earning under $250,000▶ 2:01:05; polled panelists on retirement age, benefit caps, and taxing high earners like Musk▶ 2:02:05.

• Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV)▶ 2:03:58: Highlighted her SSI Savings Penalty Elimination Act with Sen. Cassidy, noting SSI asset limits haven't been raised since 1984▶ 2:04:55; pressed Goldwein on how HR1 accelerated insolvency, with Goldwein citing reduced benefit-tax revenue from the expanded senior deduction▶ 2:08:08.

Key moments

• Chair Crapo stated the OASI Trust Fund will be exhausted in late 2032, after which incoming revenue would cover only 78% of promised benefits▶ 0:21:32.

• Sen. Wyden said the "big beautiful bill" cost Social Security $168 billion per the Social Security actuary's office▶ 0:26:08, while Sen. Johnson called the trust fund's government bonds "a fiction" with no real value▶ 0:41:28.

• Sen. Cassidy warned of a mandatory 22–28% benefit cut or a 40% tax increase if Congress fails to act▶ 0:33:20, a figure echoed by Goldwein ($500/month, 22% cut)▶ 0:54:52.

• Mr. Goldwein testified that fully covering the shortfall via general funds would require $190 trillion in additional borrowing over 75 years, equal to 165% of current GDP▶ 0:54:52.

• Sharp exchange: Sen. Whitehouse demanded Republicans "put your plan on the table"▶ 0:46:37; Chair Crapo responded that claims Republicans have no plan are "flatly false," noting senators present had already put forward proposals▶ 0:50:10.

• Sen. Cassidy and Ms. Leamond found possible common ground: Leamond indicated AARP would accept a bipartisan bicameral working-group process (without the Social Security Actuary Board) as "regular order"▶ 1:27:24.

• Sen. Sanders cited a 2023 SSA chief actuary estimate that lifting the payroll tax cap could extend solvency 75 years and fund a $2,400/year benefit increase without raising taxes on the 90% of Americans earning under $250,000▶ 2:01:05.

• Panelists split on raising the retirement age (Blahous and Goldwein: yes; Vallas and Leamond: no/Americans oppose) and on capping benefits for high earners, revealing a clear philosophical divide among witnesses▶ 2:02:05.

• Sen. Cortez Masto highlighted that this year's Trustees Report attributed 25% of the increase in Social Security's actuarial deficit to HR1, the largest single-year change in over 30 years; Goldwein attributed part of this to reduced benefit-tax revenue from HR1's expanded senior deduction▶ 2:07:36▶ 2:08:08.

• Sen. Grassley advised AARP to redirect its advertising toward warning the public about the coming 22% cut rather than solely opposing benefit cuts▶ 1:52:21.

Metadata

CommitteeSenate Finance
Chamber / CongressSenate · 119th Congress
DateAugust 5, 2026
TypeOpen Hearing
Witnesses
(none listed in event metadata)
Videosenate-isvp
Transcript321 caption blocks · 15,780 words · 2:09:28 runtime
EventCongress.gov 338701